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Stadium Background

Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
fre. 6. nov. 2026
VS
07:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Baglan Dragons host Ynyshir Albions in the Cymru South. This one's hard to separate. Baglan Dragons have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Ynyshir Albions's 1.21 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Baglan Dragons slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24. jan. 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Ynyshir Albions. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Baglan Dragons
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Ynyshir Albions
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Ynyshir Albions lately — more wins on the board than Baglan Dragons.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
Baglan Dragons Rent bur 16%
Ynyshir Albions Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Baglan Dragons Ynyshir Albions
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 8 9
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 15 11
Mål Scoret 0.83 1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.76 1.52
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. jan. 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
7. nov. 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 30 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Baglan Dragons Ynyshir Albions

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Baglan Dragons Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Ynyshir Albions conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Baglan Dragons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Baglan Dragons scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Måltrender

Baglan Dragons VS Ynyshir Albions
1.63 Mål scoret 1.63
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
17 Oct
Llantwit Fardre
1 : 3
Baglan Dragons
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Pontypridd United
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

Ynyshir Albions

(Away)
16 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
4 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)