Sport Picks
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Kampsammendrag
Bahir Dar Kenema host Ethiopian Insurance in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Bahir Dar Kenema have averaged 0.82 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Ethiopian Insurance's 0.96 scored and 0.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Bahir Dar Kenema slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. apr. 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.76, favoring Bahir Dar Kenema. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Bahir Dar Kenema haven't matched Ethiopian Insurance's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Bahir Dar Kenema | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 8 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 14 | 12 |
| Tap | 6 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.82 | 0.96 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Ethiopian Insurance conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bahir Dar Kenema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Ethiopian Insurance registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Bahir Dar Kenema's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Home)Ethiopian Insurance
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Mechal SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Welayta Dicha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Sheger Ketema FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | Adama City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Halaba Ketema FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 12 | St. Georges | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Hawassa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 15 | Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Gamo Chencha FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
