Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
søn. 1. nov. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

BFC Daugavpils host Tukums 2000 in the Virsliga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: BFC Daugavpils at 1.24 goals for, 1.07 against; Tukums 2000 at 1.41 for, 2.03 against. Past meetings favor BFC Daugavpils slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 8. aug. 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back BFC Daugavpils to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
BFC Daugavpils
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Tukums 2000
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: BFC Daugavpils

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • BFC Daugavpils carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on BFC Daugavpils taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 20%
Tukums 2000 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2000
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 10 5
Uavgjort 9 7
Tap 10 17
Mål Scoret 1.24 1.41
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.07 2.03
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. aug. 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000
2:0
12. juni 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
21. apr. 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
30. aug. 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils
0:1
21. juni 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums 2000
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 58 / 100
Tukums 2000 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2000

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tukums 2000 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

BFC Daugavpils has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

BFC Daugavpils VS Tukums 2000
1.38 Mål scoret 0.75
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

Tukums 2000

(Away)
10 Oct
Tukums 2000
0 : 2
Riga FC
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)