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Birmingham U21 vs Derby U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Damson Park, Solihull
man. 19. okt. 2026
VS
06:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Birmingham U21 host Derby U21 in the Premier League 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Birmingham U21 have averaged 1.31 scored and 2.55 conceded recently, against Derby U21's 1.59 scored and 2.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Birmingham U21 have won 1 to Derby U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 23. aug. 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (2.63 - 2.00) back Birmingham U21 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Birmingham U21
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Derby U21
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Birmingham U21

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Derby U21 lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham U21.
  • Model gives Birmingham U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 89%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 89%
Over 3.5 Mål 75.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 34%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Birmingham U21 Rent bur 10%
Derby U21 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Birmingham U21 Derby U21
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 6 7
Uavgjort 7 8
Tap 16 14
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.55 2.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.63 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. aug. 2025 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Birmingham U21
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Birmingham U21 47 / 100
Derby U21 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Birmingham U21 Derby U21

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Birmingham U21 Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Derby U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Birmingham U21 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Derby U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Birmingham U21 VS Derby U21
2 Mål scoret 1.88
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Birmingham U21
09 Oct
Birmingham U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0
Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Gillingham U21
0 : 4
Birmingham U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Derby U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2
Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2
Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
4 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
5 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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