Sport Picks
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bournemouth have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Aston Villa's 2.07 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Aston Villa slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7. feb. 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.94) point toward Bournemouth. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
27%
33%
40%
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Aston Villa
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
70%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Aston Villa lately — more wins on the board than Bournemouth.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Aston Villa taking it.
- Aston Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aston Villa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Bournemouth Rent bur 10%
Aston Villa Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Bournemouth | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 30 |
| Seire | 12 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 12 | 3 |
| Tap | 4 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.11 | 1.43 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.69 | 1.94 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
7. feb. 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
1:1
9. nov. 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
4:0
10. mai 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
0:1
26. okt. 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
1:1
21. apr. 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Bournemouth 26 / 100
Aston Villa 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Bournemouth Aston Villa
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Aston Villa Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Bournemouth's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Aston Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Bournemouth VS Aston Villa
2.13 Mål scoret 2.75
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Bournemouth
(Home) 22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Sturm Graz
10 Oct
Chelsea
5 : 1 Bournemouth
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Sturm Graz
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
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Aston Villa
(Away) 21 Oct
Aston Villa
3 : 1 Viking
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
14 Oct
Aston Villa
6 : 0 Fenerbahce
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2 Brentford
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3 Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3 Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3 Aston Villa
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3 Aston Villa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
