Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
fre. 23. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Caerau Ely host Llantwit Major in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Caerau Ely at 2.59 goals for, 1.26 against; Llantwit Major at 1.35 for, 1.84 against. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 2 to Llantwit Major's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 28. mars 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Caerau Ely. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Caerau Ely
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Llantwit Major
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caerau Ely

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Llantwit Major on wins alone.
  • Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 17%
Llantwit Major Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Caerau Ely Llantwit Major
Kamper Spilt 34 31
Seire 21 9
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 7 13
Mål Scoret 2.59 1.35
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.26 1.84
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.25 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. mars 2026 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Caerau Ely
1:4
12. sep. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major
0:0
5. apr. 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Caerau Ely
1:0
7. feb. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major
2:4
2. feb. 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caerau Ely 84 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Caerau Ely Llantwit Major

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caerau Ely Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Llantwit Major has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Caerau Ely has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Caerau Ely VS Llantwit Major
2.25 Mål scoret 1
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

Llantwit Major

(Away)
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)