Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
fre. 20. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Caerau Ely host Newport City in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Newport City have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.23 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 1 to Newport City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 9. jan. 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Caerau Ely. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Caerau Ely
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Newport City
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caerau Ely

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Newport City haven't matched Caerau Ely's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 16%
Newport City Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Caerau Ely Newport City
Kamper Spilt 30 29
Seire 17 7
Uavgjort 6 7
Tap 7 15
Mål Scoret 2.5 1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 2.03
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. jan. 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Caerau Ely
1:1
21. okt. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Newport City
4:3
20. des. 2024 Cymru South
Newport City vs Caerau Ely
3:1
16. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Newport City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caerau Ely 84 / 100
Newport City 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Caerau Ely Newport City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caerau Ely Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Newport City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Caerau Ely VS Newport City
2.5 Mål scoret 1.5
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

Newport City

(Away)
23 Oct
Newport City
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
17 Oct
Carmarthen Town
4 : 5
Newport City
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2
Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)