Sport Picks
Caerau Ely vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kampsammendrag
Caerau Ely host Newport City in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Newport City have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.23 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 1 to Newport City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 9. jan. 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Caerau Ely. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Newport City haven't matched Caerau Ely's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caerau Ely | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 17 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 7 |
| Tap | 7 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.5 | 1.38 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.23 | 2.03 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Newport City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Newport City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:21 | 21 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | 15 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:21 | 11 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Newport City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9:36 | 2 |