Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
fre. 6. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Caerau Ely host Pontypridd United in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pontypridd United have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.61. Past meetings favor Pontypridd United slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18. apr. 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.81) point toward Caerau Ely. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Caerau Ely
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Pontypridd United
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caerau Ely

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Pontypridd United.
  • Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 11%
Pontypridd United Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Caerau Ely Pontypridd United
Kamper Spilt 33 29
Seire 21 13
Uavgjort 5 7
Tap 7 9
Mål Scoret 2.61 1.79
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.24 1.69
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.06 1.81
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. apr. 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Caerau Ely
0:0
25. aug. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United
2:0
4. feb. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United
0:1
23. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Caerau Ely
1:0
25. apr. 2020 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caerau Ely 83 / 100
Pontypridd United 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Caerau Ely Pontypridd United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caerau Ely Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Pontypridd United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Caerau Ely went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Måltrender

Caerau Ely VS Pontypridd United
2.5 Mål scoret 2.25
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7

Pontypridd United

(Away)
23 Oct
Newport City
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Pontypridd United
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)