Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon 
Kamphendelser
27'
27'
Gosset D.
59'
59'
Gosset D.
65'
65'
Clarke Z.
Kampsammendrag
Caernarfon in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caernarfon.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
70%
17%
13%
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Caernarfon
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
88%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Colwyn Bay haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Caernarfon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Caernarfon have taken 4 of them.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Caernarfon Rent bur 15%
Colwyn Bay Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caernarfon | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 16 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 4 |
| Tap | 10 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.17 | 1.59 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.52 | 1.31 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
15. aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
3:0
3. apr. 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon
0:2
27. feb. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
3:0
31. jan. 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
4:1
27. des. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
1:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Caernarfon Sammenlign
Toppscorer Gosset D.
1 Mål Assister Clarke Z.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.39
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91
Colwyn Bay Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.42
Snitt xA / kamp 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Caernarfon 66 / 100
Colwyn Bay 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Caernarfon Colwyn Bay
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Colwyn Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Caernarfon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Caernarfon VS Colwyn Bay
3 Mål scoret 2
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home) 17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
Colwyn Bay
(Away) 17 Oct
Buckley
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1 Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Buckley
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1 Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
