Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Flint Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon 
Kamphendelser
18'
18'
Jonas L.
43'
43'
Piggott J.
45'
45'
Clarke Z.
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru Premier game between Caernarfon and Flint Town finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
30%
39%
31%
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
65%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Flint Town on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Caernarfon Rent bur 20%
Flint Town Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caernarfon | Flint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 16 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 7 |
| Tap | 10 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.14 | 1.38 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
17. okt. 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Flint Town vs Caernarfon
1:3
4. sep. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
12. apr. 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
5. des. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
1:1
22. aug. 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Caernarfon
2:5
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Caernarfon Sammenlign
Toppscorer Clarke Z.
2 Mål Assister Evans O.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.92
Snitt xA / kamp 1.25
Flint Town Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.91
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Caernarfon 31 / 100
Flint Town 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Caernarfon Flint Town
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Caernarfon scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Flint Town has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Caernarfon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Caernarfon VS Flint Town
3 Mål scoret 0.88
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home) 23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
Page 1 of 3
Flint Town
(Away) 23 Oct
Trefelin
0 : 2 Flint Town
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1 Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1 Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Trefelin
0 : 2 Flint Town
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1 Flint Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1 Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53:6 | 40 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 40:16 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 8 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:36 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 12 | Flint Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:25 | 11 |
| 13 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10:41 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8:33 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
