Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
tor. 10. sep. 2026
VS
10:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cerro Largo at 1.07 goals for, 1.14 against; Defensor Sp. at 0.72 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 1 to Defensor Sp.'s 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 22. aug. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.94) back Cerro Largo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Cerro Largo
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Defensor Sp.
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Cerro Largo

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Defensor Sp. haven't matched Cerro Largo's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cerro Largo taking it.
  • Cerro Largo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Largo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Cerro Largo Rent bur 20%
Defensor Sp. Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cerro Largo Defensor Sp.
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 9 6
Uavgjort 8 11
Tap 12 12
Mål Scoret 1.07 0.72
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22. aug. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.
1:1
13. juli 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.
1:1
21. feb. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Cerro Largo
1:0
13. sep. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.
1:0
24. mai 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Cerro Largo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cerro Largo 67 / 100
Defensor Sp. 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cerro Largo Defensor Sp.

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Cerro Largo Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Cerro Largo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Defensor Sp. conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cerro Largo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Cerro Largo VS Defensor Sp.
0.75 Mål scoret 0.75
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Largo

(Home)
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Liverpool M.
26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1
Cerro Largo
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

Defensor Sp.

(Away)
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3
Montevideo City
25 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 0
Rentistas
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
16 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 4
Liverpool M.
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Montevideo City 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Danubio 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Atenas 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Defensor Sp. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Rentistas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Cerro Largo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 CA Cerro 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Wanderers 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Cerrito 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Juventud 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
3 Racing Montevideo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate Montevideo 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Club Nacional 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Albion 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Progreso 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Boston River 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Colon 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
4 Fenix 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)