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Club Leon vs Toluca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Club Leon host Toluca in the Liga MX. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Club Leon have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Toluca's 1.77 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Club Leon have won 0 to Toluca's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on 3. sep. 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.06) point toward Club Leon. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Club Leon
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Toluca
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Club Leon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.6%
Club Leon Rent bur 10%
Toluca Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Club Leon Toluca
Kamper Spilt 29 35
Seire 17 16
Uavgjort 3 7
Tap 9 12
Mål Scoret 1.79 1.77
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.59 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 2.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. sep. 2026 Leagues Cup
Toluca vs Club Leon
2:0
26. apr. 2026 Liga MX
Toluca vs Club Leon
4:1
5. okt. 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Toluca
2:4
9. feb. 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Toluca
3:3
2. nov. 2024 Liga MX
Toluca vs Club Leon
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Club Leon 29 / 100
Toluca 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Club Leon Toluca

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Club Leon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Club Leon scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Toluca has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Club Leon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Club Leon VS Toluca
1.38 Mål scoret 2.5
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
18 Oct
Club Leon
3 : 5
Club America
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

Toluca

(Away)
18 Oct
Toluca
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)