Sport Picks
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn 
Kamphendelser
9'
9'
West C.
(Straffe)
35'
35'
Hughes A.
46'
46'
Bytte
Moore A. Inn: Roberts D.
Ut: Moore A.
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru Premier game between Colwyn Bay and Connahs Q. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
13%
17%
70%
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Connahs Q.
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
88%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Connahs Q.'s 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Colwyn Bay have produced (1.57).
- Win probability leans Connahs Q.'s way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33.2%
Colwyn Bay Rent bur 19%
Connahs Q. Rent bur 68%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Colwyn Bay | Connahs Q. |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 14 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 8 |
| Tap | 9 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.57 | 1.79 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
12. sep. 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q.
2:1
18. apr. 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Colwyn Bay
1:1
24. jan. 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q.
2:2
5. des. 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Colwyn Bay
2:1
10. aug. 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Q.
1:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Colwyn Bay Sammenlign
Toppscorer Davies J.
1 Mål Assister Forde S.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69
Connahs Q. Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Colwyn Bay 16 / 100
Connahs Q. 77 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Colwyn Bay Connahs Q.
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Connahs Q. Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Colwyn Bay scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Connahs Q. let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Colwyn Bay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Colwyn Bay VS Connahs Q.
2 Mål scoret 1.88
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Colwyn Bay
(Home) 17 Oct
Buckley
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1 Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Llandudno FC
21 Aug
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 3
Connahs Q.
(Away) 16 Oct
Connahs Q.
4 : 0 Porthmadog
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
