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Defensor Sp. vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Defensor Sp. host Racing Montevideo in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. This one's hard to separate. Racing Montevideo have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Defensor Sp. have conceded 1.34 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Defensor Sp. have won 3 to Racing Montevideo's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on 30. mai 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Racing Montevideo. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Defensor Sp.
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Racing Montevideo
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Racing Montevideo have won more games recently than Defensor Sp..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Defensor Sp. Rent bur 19%
Racing Montevideo Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Defensor Sp. Racing Montevideo
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 5 11
Uavgjort 10 10
Tap 14 8
Mål Scoret 0.86 1.03
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.34 1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. mai 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sp.
0:0
18. apr. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sp.
1:1
17. aug. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sp.
0:1
16. feb. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Racing Montevideo
2:0
24. okt. 2024 Copa Uruguay
Defensor Sp. vs Racing Montevideo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Defensor Sp. 32 / 100
Racing Montevideo 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Defensor Sp. Racing Montevideo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensor Sp.'s goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Racing Montevideo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Racing Montevideo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Defensor Sp. VS Racing Montevideo
1.25 Mål scoret 1
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Defensor Sp.

(Home)
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0
Defensor Sp.
10 Oct
Defensor Sp.
2 : 3
CA Cerro
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
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Racing Montevideo

(Away)
17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0
Wanderers
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0
Racing Montevideo
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 11 7 3 1 19:8 24
2 Club Nacional 11 7 2 2 17:11 23
3 Montevideo City 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
4 Penarol 11 6 3 2 16:8 20
5 Maldonado 11 5 3 3 16:9 18
6 CA Cerro 11 5 3 3 13:14 18
7 Juventud 11 4 5 2 12:8 17
8 Progreso 11 5 1 5 12:13 16
9 Racing Montevideo 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
10 Boston River 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Wanderers 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
12 Danubio 11 2 4 5 5:11 10
13 Albion 11 3 0 8 12:19 9
14 Defensor Sp. 11 2 2 7 11:20 8
15 Cerro Largo 11 0 6 5 7:14 6
16 Central Esp. 11 1 2 8 5:18 5
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