Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City vs Dundalk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
fre. 23. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Derry City host Dundalk in the Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Dundalk have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Derry City have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Derry City slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 6. sep. 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 2.06, favoring Derry City. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Derry City
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Dundalk
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Derry City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Dundalk's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Derry City have produced (1.48).
  • Win probability leans Derry City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79.4%
Derry City Rent bur 10%
Dundalk Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Derry City Dundalk
Kamper Spilt 31 29
Seire 10 10
Uavgjort 11 7
Tap 10 12
Mål Scoret 1.48 1.76
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.32 1.72
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.31 2.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. sep. 2026 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Dundalk
4:2
29. mai 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Derry City
2:1
10. apr. 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Derry City
2:2
13. feb. 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Dundalk
2:2
18. okt. 2024 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Derry City
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Derry City 83 / 100
Dundalk 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Derry City Dundalk

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Derry City Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Derry City scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Dundalk let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Derry City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Derry City VS Dundalk
2.25 Mål scoret 2.38
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Dundalk

(Away)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)