Sport Picks
Derry City vs Tolka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
Kamphendelser
29'
29'
O'Reilly A.
83'
83'
Chapman E.
90'
90'
Chapman E.
Kampsammendrag
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Derry City
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Derry City come out ahead of Tolka on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Derry City taking it.
- Derry City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 36%
Derry City Rent bur 68%
Tolka Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Derry City | Tolka |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 17 |
| Seire | 11 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 3 |
| Tap | 9 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.3 | 2.06 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.19 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
19. juli 2026 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Tolka
3:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Derry City Sammenlign
Toppscorer Chapman E.
2 Mål Assister O'Reilly A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.68
Snitt xA / kamp 1.09
Tolka Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Derry City 95 / 100
Tolka 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Derry City Tolka
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Derry City Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Derry City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tolka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.
Recent resilience: Derry City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Måltrender
Derry City VS Tolka
1.38 Mål scoret 0
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home) 10 Oct
Galway United
0 : 2 Derry City
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
Page 1 of 3
Tolka
(Away) 19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
25 Apr
Malahide United
2 : 1 Tolka
08 Jun
College Corinthians
3 : 0 Tolka
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Waterford 2
Galway United 0
Derry City 2
Final
Waterford -
Derry City -
