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Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tyskland Tyskland

DFB Pokal Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
tir. 27. okt. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the DFB Pokal. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Dortmund at 1.89 goals for, 1 against; Werder Bremen at 1.77 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Dortmund have won 2 to Werder Bremen's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on 9. okt. 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Dortmund. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Dortmund
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Werder Bremen
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Dortmund

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Dortmund come out ahead of Werder Bremen on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund taking it.
  • Dortmund have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dortmund, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Dortmund Rent bur 20%
Werder Bremen Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Dortmund Werder Bremen
Kamper Spilt 27 26
Seire 17 11
Uavgjort 3 5
Tap 7 10
Mål Scoret 1.89 1.77
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.69
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.25 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. okt. 2026 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
2:2
16. mai 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund
0:2
13. jan. 2026 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
3:0
25. jan. 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
2:2
31. aug. 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Dortmund
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Dortmund 85 / 100
Werder Bremen 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Dortmund Werder Bremen

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Dortmund Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Dortmund found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Werder Bremen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dortmund remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Dortmund VS Werder Bremen
2.13 Mål scoret 1.5
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund

(Home)
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2
Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Dortmund
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Dortmund
Page 1 of 6

Werder Bremen

(Away)
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
02 Oct
Twente
7 : 0
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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