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Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dumbarton have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Keith's 1.83 scored and 1.53 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.75, favoring Keith. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Dumbarton
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Keith
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Dumbarton

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Keith have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • Keith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Dumbarton Rent bur 12%
Keith Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Dumbarton Keith
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 10 17
Uavgjort 3 4
Tap 17 9
Mål Scoret 1.33 1.83
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.3 1.53
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.06 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Dumbarton 38 / 100
Keith 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Dumbarton Keith

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Dumbarton Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Keith let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Keith registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Dumbarton VS Keith
2 Mål scoret 1.38
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
13 Oct
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Dumbarton
10 Oct
Clyde
2 : 1
Dumbarton
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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Boness United -
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Lochee United -
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Stirling University -
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