Sport Picks
Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Switzerland
Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge 
Kamphendelser
42'
42'
Rohner F.
53'
53'
Golliard T.
Assist: Beyer B.
58'
58'
Camara S.
Kampsammendrag
The Challenge League game between Etoile-Carouge and Winterthur finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Winterthur.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
4%
6%
90%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Winterthur
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Winterthur come out ahead of Etoile-Carouge on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Winterthur's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71%
Etoile-Carouge Rent bur 20%
Winterthur Rent bur 12%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Etoile-Carouge | Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 31 |
| Seire | 9 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 7 |
| Tap | 13 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.14 | 1.9 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.71 | 1.52 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
11. sep. 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur
0:1
18. sep. 2021 Swiss Cup
Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur
3:1
21. apr. 2012 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Etoile-Carouge
0:0
27. aug. 2011 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur
0:2
19. okt. 2001 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur
0:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Etoile-Carouge Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.6
Winterthur Sammenlign
Toppscorer Golliard T.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.91
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
Winterthur 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Etoile-Carouge Winterthur
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Winterthur Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Winterthur has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Etoile-Carouge found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Etoile-Carouge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Etoile-Carouge VS Winterthur
0.75 Mål scoret 2.88
2 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile-Carouge
(Home) 24 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2 Etoile-Carouge
16 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0 Etoile-Carouge
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2 Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1 Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2 Yverdon
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1 Wil
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1 Rapperswil-Jona
07 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Xamax
Page 1 of 3
Winterthur
(Away) 23 Oct
Winterthur
4 : 0 Stade Nyonnais
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1 Luzern
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0 Winterthur
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3 Basel
30 Sept
Seuzach
1 : 4 Winterthur
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Xamax
3 : 0 Winterthur
30 Sept
Seuzach
1 : 4 Winterthur
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2 Winterthur
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2 Winterthur
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Xamax | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Kriens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 9 | Wil | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)
