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Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
tir. 27. okt. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Fakel Voronezh at 1 goals for, 1.36 against; Akhmat Grozny at 1.32 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Fakel Voronezh have won 2 to Akhmat Grozny's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 18. aug. 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.50) back Akhmat Grozny to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Fakel Voronezh
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Akhmat Grozny
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Akhmat Grozny have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Akhmat Grozny arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fakel Voronezh, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.6%
Fakel Voronezh Rent bur 16%
Akhmat Grozny Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Fakel Voronezh Akhmat Grozny
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 6 10
Uavgjort 8 10
Tap 14 8
Mål Scoret 1 1.32
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.36 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. aug. 2026 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
10. aug. 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
5. apr. 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
18. okt. 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:3
25. mai 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 31 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Fakel Voronezh Akhmat Grozny

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Akhmat Grozny Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Fakel Voronezh scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fakel Voronezh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Fakel Voronezh VS Akhmat Grozny
0.75 Mål scoret 1.63
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh

(Home)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0
Baltika
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)