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Figueirense vs Joinville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Copa Santa Catarina
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Figueirense have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Joinville's 1.06 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Figueirense have won 5 to Joinville's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 27. feb. 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.43) back Figueirense to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Figueirense
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Joinville
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Joinville on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Figueirense have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 34%
Over 4.5 Mål 15%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Figueirense Rent bur 17%
Joinville Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Figueirense Joinville
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 14 11
Uavgjort 9 4
Tap 8 16
Mål Scoret 1.16 1.06
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.13 1.35
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.43
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

27. feb. 2026 Catarinense
Joinville vs Figueirense
0:3
6. feb. 2026 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Joinville
1:0
7. jan. 2026 Catarinense
Joinville vs Figueirense
2:3
23. nov. 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Joinville
2:1
16. nov. 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Figueirense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Figueirense 36 / 100
Joinville 21 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Figueirense Joinville

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Joinville Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Figueirense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Joinville conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Måltrender

Figueirense VS Joinville
1.13 Mål scoret 1.86
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.14
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
16 Oct
Marcilio Dias
2 : 2
Figueirense
10 Oct
Figueirense
1 : 0
Hercilio Luz
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
Page 1 of 7

Joinville

(Away)
10 Oct
Santa Catarina
0 : 3
Joinville
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Hercilio Luz 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
4 Marcilio Dias 7 3 3 1 17:11 12
5 CA Metropolitano 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
6 Santa Catarina 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
7 Blumenau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
8 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 0 4 2 10:13 4
9 Nacao 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)