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Stadium Background

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tyskland Tyskland

Bundesliga Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
søn. 25. okt. 2026
VS
04:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Freiburg host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Freiburg have averaged 2.23 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Bayern Munich's 3.47 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Bayern Munich slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. apr. 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 2.31, favoring Bayern Munich. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Freiburg
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Bayern Munich
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Bayern Munich have won more games recently than Freiburg.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 86%).
  • Bayern Munich have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 86%
Over 3.5 Mål 75%
Over 4.5 Mål 34%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 78.2%
Freiburg Rent bur 10%
Bayern Munich Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Freiburg Bayern Munich
Kamper Spilt 31 32
Seire 21 25
Uavgjort 2 5
Tap 8 2
Mål Scoret 2.23 3.47
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.29 1.31
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.06 2.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. apr. 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich
2:3
22. nov. 2025 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Freiburg
6:2
25. jan. 2025 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich
1:2
1. sep. 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Freiburg
2:0
1. mars 2024 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Freiburg 30 / 100
Bayern Munich 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Freiburg Bayern Munich

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Bayern Munich Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Freiburg found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Freiburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bayern Munich let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Måltrender

Freiburg VS Bayern München
3.13 Mål scoret 3.5
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Freiburg

(Home)
15 Oct
Freiburg
3 : 2
Jablonec
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Freiburg
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
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Bayern Munich

(Away)
13 Oct
Viking
3 : 3
Bayern Munich
10 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 16:4 11
4 Bayer Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 14:8 10
5 RB Leipzig 5 3 0 2 15:5 9
6 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 13:8 8
7 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10:16 8
9 Mainz 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
10 Elversberg 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 1. FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
12 VfB Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
13 Hamburger 5 2 0 3 5:15 6
14 Schalke 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
17 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 9:13 3
18 B. Monchengladbach 5 0 0 5 7:18 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)