Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
15'
15'
Mintus M.
Assist: Wilson C.
29'
29'
Chapman H.
44'
44'
Marsh Z.
Assist: Bilokapic N.
Kampsammendrag
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
31%
39%
30%
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
65%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Derby U21 come out ahead of Gateshead on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Derby U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Derby U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 69%
Over 4.5 Mål 31%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Gateshead Rent bur 10%
Derby U21 Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Gateshead | Derby U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 5 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 8 |
| Tap | 19 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.03 | 1.59 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.1 | 2.41 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.50 | 2.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
8. sep. 2026 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Derby U21
1:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Gateshead Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75
Derby U21 Sammenlign
Toppscorer Mintus M.
1 Mål Assister Marsh Z.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.16
Snitt xA / kamp 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Gateshead 30 / 100
Derby U21 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Gateshead Derby U21
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Derby U21 Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Derby U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Gateshead scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Derby U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Gateshead VS Derby U21
0.5 Mål scoret 2
2.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home) 13 Oct
Gateshead
0 : 1 Wolves U21
10 Oct
Halifax
4 : 1 Gateshead
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2 Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1 Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Gateshead
0 : 1 Wolves U21
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2 Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1 Altrincham
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 3
Derby U21
(Away) 13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3 Derby U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Wealdstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 6 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Woking | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 8 | Boston United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
