Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Hennef host Merten in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Merten have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Hennef have conceded 1.87 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Hennef slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19. apr. 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.69) point toward Merten. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Merten carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Hennef | Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 12 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 7 |
| Tap | 15 | 6 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.43 | 2.93 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.87 | 1.14 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.13 | 2.69 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Hennef scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Merten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Hennef remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Hennef
(Home)Merten
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:12 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Wegberg-Beeck | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Merten | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Fortuna Koln II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Frechen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:13 | 11 |
| 7 | 1. FC Duren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 8 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Bornheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:17 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Hurth | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 11 | VfL Vichttal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Siegburger | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Hennef | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 14 | SpVg Porz 1919 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 16 | Konigsdorf | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:28 | 3 |
