Sport Picks
Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tyskland
DFB Pokal Holstein-Stadion, Kiel 
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 5-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Holstein Kiel have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Hoffenheim's 1.86 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Hoffenheim slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 29. juli 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Hoffenheim. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
31%
40%
29%
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Hoffenheim carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Hoffenheim arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hoffenheim, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Hoffenheim have taken 4 of them.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Holstein Kiel Rent bur 18%
Hoffenheim Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Holstein Kiel | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 28 |
| Seire | 9 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 5 |
| Tap | 10 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.41 | 1.86 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.44 | 1.93 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
29. juli 2026 Club Friendly
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel
3:1
18. jan. 2025 Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim
1:3
24. aug. 2024 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel
3:2
26. okt. 2021 DFB Pokal
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Holstein Kiel 32 / 100
Hoffenheim 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Holstein Kiel Hoffenheim
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Hoffenheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.75 goals.
Holstein Kiel scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Solid form: Holstein Kiel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Holstein Kiel VS Hoffenheim
0.75 Mål scoret 1.63
1 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Holstein Kiel
(Home) 16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 : 0 Hertha Berlin
09 Oct
Braunschweig
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1 Viborg
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 : 0 Hertha Berlin
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1 Viborg
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 VfL Osnabruck
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
14 Aug
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 St. Pauli
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Hoffenheim
(Away) 22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Besiktas
10 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Hamburger
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0 Hoffenheim
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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