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Stadium Background

Iran vs China - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
lør. 9. jan. 2027
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. China have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Iran have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.74. Past meetings favor Iran slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24. jan. 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.94) point toward Iran. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Iran
33%
Uavgjort
27%
China
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Iran

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Iran come out ahead of China on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iran's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Iran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Iran Rent bur 20%
China Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Iran China
Kamper Spilt 31 29
Seire 17 9
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 7 15
Mål Scoret 1.74 0.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.87 1.59
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. jan. 2019 Asian Cup
China vs Iran
0:3
28. mars 2017 World Championship
Iran vs China
1:0
6. sep. 2016 World Championship
China vs Iran
0:0
3. sep. 2010 Friendly International
China vs Iran
0:2
1. juni 2009 Friendly International
China vs Iran
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Iran 40 / 100
China 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Iran China

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Iran Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Iran's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

China's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Iran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: China has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Iran VS China
1.75 Mål scoret 1.13
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran

(Home)
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
Page 1 of 7

China

(Away)
06 Oct
China
0 : 1
Tajikistan
02 Oct
China
0 : 5
Palestine
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
China
3 : 0
Maldives
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams