Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran vs China

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
lør. 9. jan. 2027
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. China have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Iran have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Iran slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24. jan. 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.10) point toward Iran. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Iran
33%
Uavgjort
27%
China
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Iran

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Iran come out ahead of China on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iran's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Iran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 16.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 7%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66.2%
Iran Rent bur 20%
China Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Iran China
Kamper Spilt 28 30
Seire 16 9
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 5 15
Mål Scoret 1.79 0.9
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.82 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.10
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. jan. 2019 Asian Cup
China vs Iran
0:3
28. mars 2017 World Championship
Iran vs China
1:0
6. sep. 2016 World Championship
China vs Iran
0:0
3. sep. 2010 Friendly International
China vs Iran
0:2
1. juni 2009 Friendly International
China vs Iran
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Iran 40 / 100
China 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Iran China

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Iran Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Recent resilience: Iran stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Iran's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

China let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Måltrender

Iran VS China
1.25 Mål scoret 1.2
1 Mål sluppet inn 1
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran

(Home)
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
Page 1 of 6

China

(Away)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams