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Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Homs Al Fidaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Hisor Central Stadium, Hisor
fre. 23. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Istiqlol Dushanbe host Homs Al Fidaa in the AFC Challenge League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Istiqlol Dushanbe have averaged 1.96 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Homs Al Fidaa's 1.89 scored and 0.43 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Homs Al Fidaa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Istiqlol Dushanbe
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Homs Al Fidaa
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Homs Al Fidaa

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Istiqlol Dushanbe haven't matched Homs Al Fidaa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Homs Al Fidaa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65.4%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Rent bur 20%
Homs Al Fidaa Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Istiqlol Dushanbe Homs Al Fidaa
Kamper Spilt 27 28
Seire 17 20
Uavgjort 5 6
Tap 5 2
Mål Scoret 1.96 1.89
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.7 0.43
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.69 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Istiqlol Dushanbe 28 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Istiqlol Dushanbe Homs Al Fidaa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Istiqlol Dushanbe's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Istiqlol Dushanbe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Homs Al Fidaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

Måltrender

Istiqlol Dushanbe VS Homs Al Fidaa
1.13 Mål scoret 1.63
0.38 Mål sluppet inn 0.25
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Istiqlol Dushanbe

(Home)
17 Oct
Nejmeh SC
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 6

Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
17 Oct
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ahal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Paro 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Homs Al Fidaa 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Istiqlol Dushanbe 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Regar-TadAZ 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 FC Goa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Fortis 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borneo 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Yangon United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Shan United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Hang Yuen 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Kasuka 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)