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Japan vs Indonesia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
man. 11. jan. 2027
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Indonesia have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Japan have conceded 0.55 and scored 2.33. Head-to-head, Japan have won 4 to Indonesia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 10. juni 2025, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring Japan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Japan
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Indonesia
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Japan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Japan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Japan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 63%
Japan Rent bur 17%
Indonesia Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Japan Indonesia
Kamper Spilt 33 35
Seire 24 19
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 3 10
Mål Scoret 2.33 2.23
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.55 1.11
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. juni 2025 World Championship
Japan vs Indonesia
6:0
15. nov. 2024 World Championship
Indonesia vs Japan
0:4
24. jan. 2024 Asian Cup
Japan vs Indonesia
3:1
10. juni 1989 World Championship
Japan vs Indonesia
5:0
27. mai 1989 World Championship
Indonesia vs Japan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Japan 36 / 100
Indonesia 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Japan Indonesia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Indonesia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Japan found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Japan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Indonesia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 49% of 35 matches.

Måltrender

Japan VS Indonesia
1.88 Mål scoret 1.88
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan

(Home)
05 Oct
Japan
2 : 1
New Zealand
01 Oct
Japan
1 : 0
Ecuador
28 Sept
Japan
2 : 1
Venezuela
24 Sept
Japan
3 : 1
Uruguay
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
Page 1 of 7

Indonesia

(Away)
05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2
Thailand
01 Oct
Indonesia
9 : 2
Bangladesh
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams