Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jelgava vs Ogre United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
søn. 8. nov. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Jelgava host Ogre United in the Virsliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ogre United have shipped 2.59 goals a game lately, while Jelgava have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Jelgava have won 2 to Ogre United's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 22. aug. 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.19, favoring Jelgava. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Jelgava
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Ogre United
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of Ogre United on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Jelgava have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Jelgava Rent bur 20%
Ogre United Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Jelgava Ogre United
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 7 5
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 15 19
Mål Scoret 1.07 1.14
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.52 2.59
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22. aug. 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Jelgava
2:3
17. juni 2026 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Ogre United
0:2
27. apr. 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Jelgava
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Jelgava 31 / 100
Ogre United 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Jelgava Ogre United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Jelgava Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Ogre United conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Away concern: Ogre United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Jelgava scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Måltrender

Jelgava VS Ogre United
1 Mål scoret 1.13
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2
Jelgava
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
Page 1 of 6

Ogre United

(Away)
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)