Sport Picks
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 
Kamphendelser
69'
69'
Okoth P.
Kampsammendrag
The Premier League game between Kakamega Homeboyz and Mahia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahia.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
30%
34%
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Kakamega Homeboyz
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Mahia come out ahead of Kakamega Homeboyz on wins alone.
- Model gives Kakamega Homeboyz a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
- History favors Mahia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Kakamega Homeboyz Rent bur 20%
Mahia Rent bur 17%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Kakamega Homeboyz | Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 23 | 29 |
| Seire | 8 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 6 |
| Tap | 7 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.35 | 1.45 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.88 | 0.51 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
28. okt. 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia
0:1
3. mai 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia
0:1
17. des. 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz
1:0
26. jan. 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mahia
0:0
27. nov. 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Kakamega Homeboyz
2:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Kakamega Homeboyz Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.44
Mahia Sammenlign
Toppscorer Okoth P.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.46
Snitt xA / kamp 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Kakamega Homeboyz 36 / 100
Mahia 34 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Kakamega Homeboyz Mahia
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Kakamega Homeboyz scored in 78% of their last 23 outings.
Kakamega Homeboyz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Mahia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Måltrender
Kakamega Homeboyz VS Mahia
0.25 Mål scoret 0.88
0.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
13% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kakamega Homeboyz
(Home) 18 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
14 Oct
Mombasa United
0 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
Page 1 of 5
18 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Mahia
12 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
04 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
3 : 0 Mathare United
Page 1 of 2
Mahia
(Away) 24 Oct
Mahia
1 : 0 Bandari
17 Oct
APS Bomet
0 : 1 Mahia
13 Oct
Mahia
4 : 2 Muranga
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1 Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2 Pyramids
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
APS Bomet
0 : 1 Mahia
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1 Mahia
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1 Mahia
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5 Mahia
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0 Mahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Leopards | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Muranga | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 15 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
