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Lancaster vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Lancaster host Leek Town in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Lancaster at 1.54 goals for, 1.57 against; Leek Town at 1.71 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Lancaster have won 2 to Leek Town's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 14. feb. 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.13, favoring Leek Town. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Lancaster
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Leek Town
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Lancaster haven't matched Leek Town's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Lancaster Rent bur 10%
Leek Town Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lancaster Leek Town
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 11 12
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 10 7
Mål Scoret 1.54 1.71
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.29
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 2.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. feb. 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Leek Town
2:1
11. okt. 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Lancaster
0:1
18. jan. 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Lancaster
2:1
1. okt. 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Leek Town
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lancaster 34 / 100
Leek Town 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lancaster Leek Town

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Leek Town Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Lancaster scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Leek Town has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lancaster has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Lancaster VS Leek Town
1.38 Mål scoret 2.25
2 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2
Lancaster
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28:11 28
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 33:20 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 23:22 21
7 Warrington Rylands 13 6 2 5 20:20 20
8 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
9 Gainsborough 11 6 1 4 22:15 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 22:18 19
11 Alfreton 13 6 0 7 20:16 18
12 Lancaster 13 5 2 6 18:26 17
13 Hyde 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 21:27 13
16 Whitby 12 4 1 7 17:32 13
17 Stockton 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 11:24 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 16:31 10
21 Ilkeston 13 2 1 10 7:31 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
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