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Stadium Background

Le Mans vs Toulouse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Frankrike Frankrike

Ligue 1 Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
fre. 16. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Le Mans host Toulouse in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Toulouse have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Le Mans have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Toulouse slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30. jan. 2010, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.31) back Le Mans to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Le Mans
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Toulouse
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Le Mans average 1.64 goals a game right now, well clear of Toulouse's 1.26.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Toulouse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.6%
Le Mans Rent bur 18%
Toulouse Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Le Mans Toulouse
Kamper Spilt 28 31
Seire 11 11
Uavgjort 11 7
Tap 6 13
Mål Scoret 1.64 1.26
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.25 1.58
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. jan. 2010 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Toulouse
1:3
20. sep. 2009 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Le Mans
2:0
7. feb. 2009 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Le Mans
2:0
13. sep. 2008 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Toulouse
1:2
22. mars 2008 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Le Mans
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Le Mans 31 / 100
Toulouse 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Le Mans Toulouse

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Le Mans Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Le Mans scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Toulouse has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Le Mans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Le Mans VS Toulouse
1.25 Mål scoret 1.25
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Le Mans

(Home)
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

Toulouse

(Away)
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
8 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
10 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
12 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
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Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
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Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
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