Sport Picks
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Polish Cup Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Polish Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Jagiellonia have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Lechia Gdansk have conceded 1.82 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Jagiellonia slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 6. mars 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.31) back Jagiellonia to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
60%
22%
18%
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Lechia Gdansk
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
82%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Jagiellonia lately — more wins on the board than Lechia Gdansk.
- Win probability leans Lechia Gdansk's way, sitting at 60%.
- Jagiellonia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lechia Gdansk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Lechia Gdansk Rent bur 18%
Jagiellonia Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Lechia Gdansk | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 32 |
| Seire | 11 | 18 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 4 |
| Tap | 14 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.64 | 1.59 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.82 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
6. mars 2026 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia
3:0
31. aug. 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk
2:0
29. mars 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia
1:0
21. sep. 2024 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk
3:2
10. apr. 2023 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Lechia Gdansk 58 / 100
Jagiellonia 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Jagiellonia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Lechia Gdansk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Lechia Gdansk VS Jagiellonia
2.13 Mål scoret 1.75
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lechia Gdansk
(Home) 24 Oct
Puszcza
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
18 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Oct
S. Rzeszow
1 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
31 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 3
Jagiellonia
(Away) 25 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 Wisla Plock
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3 Anderlecht
18 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Jagiellonia
15 Oct
Jagiellonia
3 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Jagiellonia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
30 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 5 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Termalica Bruk-Bet 0
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna 1
GKS Katowice 0
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
