Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lille vs Lens - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Frankrike Frankrike

Ligue 1 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
fre. 30. okt. 2026
VS
08:05 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lille have averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Lens's 2.16 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Lille have won 4 to Lens's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 4. apr. 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back Lille to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Lille
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Lens
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Lens lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Lille here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Lille Rent bur 16%
Lens Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Lille Lens
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 15 18
Uavgjort 8 4
Tap 7 9
Mål Scoret 1.5 2.16
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.35
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. apr. 2026 Ligue 1
Lille vs Lens
3:0
20. sep. 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Lille
3:0
30. mars 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs Lens
1:0
26. okt. 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Lille
0:2
29. mars 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Lens
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Lille 31 / 100
Lens 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Lille Lens

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Lens Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Lille found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lens conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Lille went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Lille VS Lens
1.25 Mål scoret 1.63
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
13 Oct
Arsenal
3 : 0
Lille
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
Page 1 of 6

Lens

(Away)
17 Oct
Troyes
1 : 3
Lens
13 Oct
Lens
0 : 2
Sporting CP
09 Oct
Lens
2 : 1
Lyon
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 PSG 7 4 2 1 14:9 14
3 Paris FC 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Lille 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
5 Monaco 7 4 2 1 10:6 14
6 Rennes 7 4 1 2 15:14 13
7 Lorient 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
8 Lens 7 3 1 3 14:11 10
9 Marseille 7 3 0 4 14:10 9
10 Brest 7 2 3 2 13:10 9
11 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 12:11 9
12 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
13 Nice 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
15 Angers 7 2 1 4 9:15 7
16 Le Mans 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
17 Troyes 7 1 1 5 5:16 4
18 Le Havre 7 0 2 5 5:11 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)