Sport Picks
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Champions League Anfield, Liverpool 
Kamphendelser
17'
17'
Llorente M.
Assist: Alvarez J.
28'
28'
Mac Allister A.
40'
40'
Szoboszlai D.
Assist: Araujo R.
Kampsammendrag
The Champions League game between Liverpool and Atl. Madrid finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Liverpool haven't matched Atl. Madrid's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Liverpool here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Liverpool Rent bur 16%
Atl. Madrid Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Liverpool | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 13 | 15 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 3 |
| Tap | 9 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.64 | 1.34 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
9. sep. 2026 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:1
17. sep. 2025 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
3:2
3. nov. 2021 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:0
19. okt. 2021 Champions League
Atl. Madrid vs Liverpool
2:3
11. mars 2020 Champions League
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Liverpool Sammenlign
Toppscorer Szoboszlai D.
1 Mål Assister Mac Allister A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.11
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72
Atl. Madrid Sammenlign
Toppscorer Llorente M.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Liverpool 36 / 100
Atl. Madrid 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Liverpool Atl. Madrid
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Atl. Madrid Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Liverpool's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Liverpool stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Måltrender
Liverpool VS Atl. Madrid
2 Mål scoret 1.88
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool
(Home) 20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3 Villarreal
17 Oct
Brentford
1 : 2 Liverpool
14 Oct
LASK Linz
3 : 6 Liverpool
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3 Manchester City
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3 Villarreal
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3 Manchester City
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0 Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid
13 Oct
Atl. Madrid
2 : 0 Manchester United
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Espanyol
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | LASK Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
