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Liverpool vs Villarreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Anfield, Liverpool
tir. 20. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Liverpool host Villarreal in the Champions League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Liverpool at 1.5 goals for, 1.46 against; Villarreal at 1.81 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Liverpool have won 3 to Villarreal's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 3. mai 2022, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back Liverpool to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Liverpool
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Villarreal
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Villarreal lately — more wins on the board than Liverpool.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Liverpool here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.4%
Liverpool Rent bur 19%
Villarreal Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Liverpool Villarreal
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 11 12
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 10 10
Mål Scoret 1.5 1.81
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.46 1.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. mai 2022 Champions League
Villarreal vs Liverpool
2:3
27. apr. 2022 Champions League
Liverpool vs Villarreal
2:0
5. mai 2016 Europa League
Liverpool vs Villarreal
3:0
28. apr. 2016 Europa League
Villarreal vs Liverpool
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Liverpool 36 / 100
Villarreal 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Liverpool Villarreal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Villarreal Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Villarreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Liverpool found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Liverpool remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Liverpool VS Villarreal
1.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
11 Oct
Liverpool
0 : 3
Manchester City
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Liverpool
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6

Villarreal

(Away)
10 Oct
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Villarreal
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2
Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Sporting CP 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 8:3 4
5 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
6 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Manchester United 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
9 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
11 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Atl. Madrid 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
15 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
16 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
17 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
18 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
19 Lens 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
20 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
21 Sabah Baku 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
22 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
23 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
24 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
25 PSV 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Viking 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
27 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Inter 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
29 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 Slavia Prague 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
31 Napoli 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
32 Lille 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Galatasaray 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)