Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llantwit Major vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
lør. 31. okt. 2026
VS
02:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Llantwit Major host Newport City in the Cymru South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Newport City have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Llantwit Major have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.35. Head-to-head, Llantwit Major have won 1 to Newport City's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 20. feb. 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.56, favoring Llantwit Major. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Llantwit Major
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Newport City
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Newport City haven't matched Llantwit Major's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Llantwit Major Rent bur 15%
Newport City Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Llantwit Major Newport City
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 10 7
Uavgjort 8 8
Tap 13 16
Mål Scoret 1.35 1.35
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.84 2.03
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

20. feb. 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Llantwit Major
2:1
8. nov. 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Newport City
2:2
28. mars 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Llantwit Major
2:1
12. okt. 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Newport City
1:1
20. juli 2024 League Cup
Llantwit Major vs Newport City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Llantwit Major 35 / 100
Newport City 21 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Llantwit Major Newport City

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Newport City Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Newport City let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Llantwit Major found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Llantwit Major stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Llantwit Major VS Newport City
1.13 Mål scoret 1
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
17 Oct
Trefelin
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

Newport City

(Away)
23 Oct
Newport City
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
17 Oct
Carmarthen Town
4 : 5
Newport City
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2
Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)