Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maastricht vs Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nederland Nederland

KNVB Beker De Geusselt, Maastricht
ons. 28. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 5-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Excelsior have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Maastricht have conceded 2 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Excelsior slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4. apr. 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.56 - 2.06) back Excelsior to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Maastricht
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Excelsior
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Maastricht

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Maastricht.
  • Maastricht are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Excelsior arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Excelsior here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.8%
Maastricht Rent bur 10%
Excelsior Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Maastricht Excelsior
Kamper Spilt 31 27
Seire 8 12
Uavgjort 9 5
Tap 14 10
Mål Scoret 1.1 2.04
Mål Sluppet Inn 2 1.63
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 2.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. apr. 2025 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Excelsior
1:2
18. okt. 2024 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Maastricht
3:2
19. okt. 2022 KNVB Beker
Excelsior vs Maastricht
5:1
15. apr. 2022 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Excelsior
1:1
10. des. 2021 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Maastricht
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Maastricht 40 / 100
Excelsior 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Maastricht Excelsior

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Excelsior has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Maastricht found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Excelsior registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Maastricht VS Excelsior
1 Mål scoret 1.38
2.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maastricht

(Home)
23 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 2
Maastricht
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 7

Excelsior

(Away)
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
TBD -
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Barendrecht -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
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Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
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Excelsior -
Zwolle -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
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Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
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Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
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Sittard -
Telstar -
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Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
TBD -
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Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
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Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
TBD -
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Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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