Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mainz vs Werder Bremen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tyskland Tyskland

Bundesliga Mewa Arena, Mainz
lør. 24. okt. 2026
VS
01:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Mainz host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Mainz at 2.77 goals for, 1.1 against; Werder Bremen at 1.63 for, 1.7 against. Past meetings favor Werder Bremen slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. mars 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.69 - 1.38) back Mainz to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Mainz
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Werder Bremen
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Mainz

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Mainz come out ahead of Werder Bremen on wins alone.
  • Mainz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.6%
Mainz Rent bur 17%
Werder Bremen Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mainz Werder Bremen
Kamper Spilt 31 27
Seire 19 11
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 7 12
Mål Scoret 2.77 1.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 1.7
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.69 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. mars 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Mainz
0:2
1. nov. 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Werder Bremen
1:1
31. jan. 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Mainz
1:0
15. sep. 2024 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Werder Bremen
1:2
3. feb. 2024 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Werder Bremen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mainz 84 / 100
Werder Bremen 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mainz Werder Bremen

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mainz Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mainz found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Werder Bremen conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Mainz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Mainz VS Werder Bremen
3.38 Mål scoret 1.38
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mainz

(Home)
10 Oct
Mainz
3 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
03 Oct
Mannheim
0 : 3
Mainz
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
Page 1 of 7

Werder Bremen

(Away)
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
02 Oct
Twente
7 : 0
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 16:4 11
4 Bayer Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 14:8 10
5 RB Leipzig 5 3 0 2 15:5 9
6 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 13:8 8
7 Werder Bremen 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10:16 8
9 Mainz 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
10 Elversberg 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 1. FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
12 VfB Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
13 Hamburger 5 2 0 3 5:15 6
14 Schalke 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
17 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 9:13 3
18 B. Monchengladbach 5 0 0 5 7:18 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)