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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
fre. 6. nov. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Carling Knockout. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Mamelodi Sundowns have averaged 1.94 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Golden Arrows's 0.86 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 6. sep. 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Mamelodi Sundowns to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Mamelodi Sundowns
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Golden Arrows
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Mamelodi Sundowns

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Mamelodi Sundowns carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mamelodi Sundowns a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Golden Arrows, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Mamelodi Sundowns Rent bur 20%
Golden Arrows Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mamelodi Sundowns Golden Arrows
Kamper Spilt 31 28
Seire 19 10
Uavgjort 9 11
Tap 3 7
Mål Scoret 1.94 0.86
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 0.75
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. sep. 2026 Betway Premiership
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:2
30. aug. 2026 MTN 8 Cup
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns
2:3
23. aug. 2026 MTN 8 Cup
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows
0:1
4. mars 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows
2:1
24. sep. 2025 Betway Premiership
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mamelodi Sundowns 49 / 100
Golden Arrows 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mamelodi Sundowns Golden Arrows

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Mamelodi Sundowns scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Mamelodi Sundowns has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Golden Arrows let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Måltrender

Mamelodi Sundowns VS Golden Arrows
2.5 Mål scoret 1.13
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Home)
27 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
23 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
Wiliete
18 Oct
Wiliete
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
13 Oct
Richards Bay
1 : 4
Mamelodi Sundowns
10 Oct
Orlando Pirates
0 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 7

Golden Arrows

(Away)
24 Oct
Golden Arrows
4 : 0
Chippa Utd.
17 Oct
Golden Arrows
0 : 1
Milford
20 Sept
Golden Arrows
0 : 0
Kaizer Chiefs
13 Sept
Siwelele
1 : 1
Golden Arrows
06 Sept
Golden Arrows
1 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kaizer Chiefs 3
TS Galaxy 0
Polokwane City 0
Siwelele 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Golden Arrows 4
Chippa Utd. 0
Orlando Pirates 3
Milford 0
Sekhukhune 3
Richards Bay 1
Durban City 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kruger United 0
AmaZulu 1
Quarter-finals
Kaizer Chiefs -
Siwelele -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Golden Arrows -
Orlando Pirates -
Sekhukhune -
Stellenbosch FC -
AmaZulu -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -