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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
tir. 27. okt. 2026
VS
05:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Mamelodi Sundowns go into this one as the clear favorite. Mamelodi Sundowns have averaged 1.94 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Marumo Gallants's 0.69 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19. aug. 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 0.79, favoring Mamelodi Sundowns. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Mamelodi Sundowns
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Marumo Gallants
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Mamelodi Sundowns

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Mamelodi Sundowns lately — more wins on the board than Marumo Gallants.
  • Model gives Mamelodi Sundowns a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mamelodi Sundowns, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 27%
Over 4.5 Mål 12%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Mamelodi Sundowns Rent bur 20%
Marumo Gallants Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants
Kamper Spilt 36 29
Seire 22 2
Uavgjort 10 11
Tap 4 16
Mål Scoret 1.94 0.69
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.45
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.98 0.79
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. aug. 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
2:0
17. mars 2026 Betway Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
3:1
4. okt. 2025 Carling Knockout
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
0:1
17. sep. 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
19. feb. 2025 Betway Premiership
Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mamelodi Sundowns 85 / 100
Marumo Gallants 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mamelodi Sundowns Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mamelodi Sundowns's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Marumo Gallants conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Mamelodi Sundowns went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Måltrender

Mamelodi Sundowns VS Marumo Gallants
2.25 Mål scoret 0.71
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Home)
18 Oct
Wiliete
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns
13 Oct
Richards Bay
1 : 4
Mamelodi Sundowns
10 Oct
Orlando Pirates
0 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
12 Sept
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 8

Marumo Gallants

(Away)
17 Oct
Sekhukhune
2 : 1
Marumo Gallants
20 Sept
Marumo Gallants
0 : 2
Orlando Pirates
12 Sept
AmaZulu
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
04 Sept
Marumo Gallants
2 : 2
Polokwane City
25 Aug
Marumo Gallants
2 : 3
TS Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Golden Arrows -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
Siwelele -
Kruger United -
AmaZulu -
Sekhukhune -
Richards Bay -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Marumo Gallants -
Orlando Pirates -
Milford -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TS Galaxy -
Durban City -
Stellenbosch FC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -