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Mara Sugar vs Police FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
søn. 1. nov. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Mara Sugar host Police FC in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Police FC have shipped 0.64 goals a game lately, while Mara Sugar have conceded 1.08 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Police FC slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24. jan. 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.56, favoring Police FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Mara Sugar
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Police FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Mara Sugar

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mara Sugar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Mara Sugar Rent bur 20%
Police FC Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mara Sugar Police FC
Kamper Spilt 24 25
Seire 7 10
Uavgjort 10 11
Tap 7 4
Mål Scoret 1 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.08 0.64
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.69 0.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. jan. 2026 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Police FC
0:1
14. jan. 2026 Premier League
Police FC vs Mara Sugar
1:1
25. mai 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Police FC vs Mara Sugar
1:2
26. jan. 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Police FC
0:1
7. des. 2024 Premier League
Police FC vs Mara Sugar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mara Sugar 40 / 100
Police FC 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mara Sugar Police FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mara Sugar Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mara Sugar scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Mara Sugar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police FC let in goals in 52% of their last 25 matches.

Måltrender

Mara Sugar VS Police FC
0.63 Mål scoret 0.5
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mara Sugar

(Home)
24 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 0
Mara Sugar
19 Oct
Mara Sugar
2 : 1
Mombasa United
11 Oct
3K FC
2 : 2
Mara Sugar
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
Page 1 of 5

Police FC

(Away)
20 Oct
Police FC
1 : 2
Leopards
11 Oct
Migori
1 : 1
Police FC
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mara Sugar 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 Leopards 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Shabana 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 KCB 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Muranga 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Posta Rangers 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
10 3K FC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 Nairobi United 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Bandari 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Migori 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Police FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Mathare United 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 APS Bomet 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
17 Ulinzi Stars 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 Mombasa United 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)