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Mathare United vs Mahia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
man. 30. nov. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Mathare United host Mahia in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Mathare United have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Mahia's 1.35 scored and 0.92 conceded. Past meetings favor Mahia slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28. feb. 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 0.44, favoring Mahia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Mathare United
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Mahia
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Mahia lately — more wins on the board than Mathare United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • Mahia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Mathare United Rent bur 20%
Mahia Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mathare United Mahia
Kamper Spilt 24 26
Seire 7 14
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 10 7
Mål Scoret 0.96 1.35
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.04 0.92
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.17 0.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. feb. 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Mathare United
2:1
30. okt. 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Mahia
0:2
8. feb. 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Mahia
1:2
28. sep. 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Mathare United
4:0
3. mai 2023 Premier League
Mahia vs Mathare United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mathare United 32 / 100
Mahia 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mathare United Mahia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Mahia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Mathare United found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mathare United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Mahia conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Måltrender

Mathare United VS Mahia
0 Mål scoret 0.75
0.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mathare United

(Home)
24 Oct
Migori
0 : 0
Mathare United
17 Oct
KCB
1 : 0
Mathare United
10 Oct
Mathare United
0 : 0
APS Bomet
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
Page 1 of 5

Mahia

(Away)
28 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
24 Oct
Mahia
1 : 0
Bandari
17 Oct
APS Bomet
0 : 1
Mahia
13 Oct
Mahia
4 : 2
Muranga
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 KCB 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Muranga 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
4 Mara Sugar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
5 Leopards 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
6 APS Bomet 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
7 Shabana 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 3K FC 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Posta Rangers 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
11 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
12 Nairobi United 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Bandari 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Migori 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Police FC 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Mathare United 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
17 Ulinzi Stars 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
18 Mombasa United 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)