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Mathare United vs Tusker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
tor. 29. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Mathare United host Tusker in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mathare United have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Tusker's 0.94 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Mathare United slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14. feb. 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.79 - 0.38) back Tusker to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Mathare United
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Tusker
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Mathare United

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Tusker come out ahead of Mathare United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mathare United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Mathare United Rent bur 20%
Tusker Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mathare United Tusker
Kamper Spilt 24 31
Seire 7 14
Uavgjort 7 5
Tap 10 12
Mål Scoret 0.96 0.94
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.04 0.9
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.79 0.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. feb. 2026 Premier League
Mathare United vs Tusker
3:1
1. okt. 2025 Premier League
Tusker vs Mathare United
0:0
27. apr. 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Tusker
2:1
7. des. 2024 Premier League
Tusker vs Mathare United
2:0
12. apr. 2023 Premier League
Mathare United vs Tusker
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mathare United 42 / 100
Tusker 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mathare United Tusker

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Mathare United scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Tusker has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mathare United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Mathare United VS Tusker
0 Mål scoret 0.63
0.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mathare United

(Home)
24 Oct
Migori
0 : 0
Mathare United
17 Oct
KCB
1 : 0
Mathare United
10 Oct
Mathare United
0 : 0
APS Bomet
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
Page 1 of 5

Tusker

(Away)
25 Oct
Singida Black Stars
1 : 1
Tusker
18 Oct
Tusker
0 : 1
Singida Black Stars
11 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Tusker
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 3K FC 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Mara Sugar 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
4 Leopards 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
5 Shabana 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 KCB 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Muranga 3 1 0 2 8:7 3
10 Nairobi United 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
11 Posta Rangers 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
12 Migori 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Police FC 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Bandari 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15 APS Bomet 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Mathare United 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
17 Ulinzi Stars 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
18 Mombasa United 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)