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Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
ons. 28. okt. 2026
1 - 2
09:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

35' Event
Kogut I.
76' Event
Romanyuk Y.
87' Event
Dubko V.

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Ukrainian Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Mayak Sarny at 1.67 goals for, 1 against; FC Kharkiv at 1.86 for, 1.28 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.65 - 1.17) back Mayak Sarny to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Mayak Sarny
20%
Uavgjort
38%
FC Kharkiv
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Mayak Sarny

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • FC Kharkiv have won more games recently than Mayak Sarny.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mayak Sarny taking it.
  • FC Kharkiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
Mayak Sarny Rent bur 20%
FC Kharkiv Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Mayak Sarny FC Kharkiv
Kamper Spilt 3 29
Seire 2 12
Uavgjort 0 6
Tap 1 11
Mål Scoret 1.67 1.86
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.28
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.65 1.17
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Mayak Sarny Sammenlign

Toppscorer Romanyuk Y.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.27
Snitt xA / kamp 0.82

FC Kharkiv Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kogut I.
1 Mål
Assister Dubko V.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Mayak Sarny 42 / 100
FC Kharkiv 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Mayak Sarny FC Kharkiv

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Mayak Sarny scored in 67% of their last 3 outings.

FC Kharkiv has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Mayak Sarny went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: FC Kharkiv registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Mayak Sarny VS FC Kharkiv
1.67 Mål scoret 2
0.33 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayak Sarny

(Home)
08 Sept
Bazys Kochubiyivka
1 : 4
Mayak Sarny
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
1 : 0
SC Poltava
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
0 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv

FC Kharkiv

(Away)
24 Oct
Epitsentr
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
19 Oct
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1
Livyi Bereg
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar 3
Dynamo Kyiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg 0
Veres Rivne 1
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -