Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall vs Newcastle Utd

England England

EFL Cup The Den, London
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

46'
Bytte
Dedic A. Inn: Livramento V.
Ut: Dedic A.
62'
Bytte
Esse R. Inn: Issoufou Y.
Ut: Esse R.
62'
Bytte
Lovelace Z. Inn: Arconte T.
Ut: Lovelace Z.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

13%
Millwall
17%
Uavgjort
70%
Newcastle Utd
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Newcastle Utd

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Millwall have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
  • Model gives Newcastle Utd a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Millwall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Millwall Rent bur 16%
Newcastle Utd Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Millwall Newcastle Utd
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 14 13
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 10 14
Mål Scoret 1.31 1.78
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 1.81
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. sep. 2026 EFL Cup
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd
0:1
17. apr. 1993 Championship
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
20. des. 1992 Championship
Newcastle Utd vs Millwall
1:1
18. apr. 1992 Championship
Newcastle Utd vs Millwall
0:1
21. sep. 1991 Championship
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Millwall Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

Newcastle Utd Sammenlign

Toppscorer Willock J.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.31
Snitt xA / kamp 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Millwall 15 / 100
Newcastle Utd 65 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Millwall Newcastle Utd

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Newcastle Utd Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Newcastle Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Millwall found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Millwall has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Millwall VS Newcastle Utd
1.75 Mål scoret 1.75
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1
Millwall
25 Aug
Cambridge Utd
0 : 1
Millwall
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd

(Away)
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2
West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Liverpool
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
1/32-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
1/16-finals
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Manchester United -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
Norwich -
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Coventry -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Ipswich -
Arsenal -
West Ham -
Fulham -
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Liverpool -
Tottenham -
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Fleetwood Town -
Sheffield Utd -
Everton -
Wolves -
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Reading -
Brentford -
Peterborough -
Barnsley -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -