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Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Milton Keynes Dons host Luton in the League One. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Milton Keynes Dons at 1.56 goals for, 1.33 against; Luton at 2.21 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Milton Keynes Dons have won 0 to Luton's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 9. okt. 2018, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.38) back Luton to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Milton Keynes Dons
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Luton
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Luton have won more games recently than Milton Keynes Dons.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Luton here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Milton Keynes Dons Rent bur 17%
Luton Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Milton Keynes Dons Luton
Kamper Spilt 27 29
Seire 9 17
Uavgjort 10 6
Tap 8 6
Mål Scoret 1.56 2.21
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.33 1.28
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. okt. 2018 EFL Trophy
Luton vs Milton Keynes Dons
3:0
16. apr. 2005 League One
Luton vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
20. nov. 2004 League One
Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Milton Keynes Dons 36 / 100
Luton 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Milton Keynes Dons Luton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Luton Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Milton Keynes Dons scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Luton conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Milton Keynes Dons has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Milton Keynes Dons VS Luton
1.13 Mål scoret 1.75
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

(Home)
10 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 5
Reading
06 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
7 : 1
Brentford U21
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1
Peterborough
Page 1 of 6

Luton

(Away)
10 Oct
Wycombe
1 : 4
Luton
03 Oct
Colchester
1 : 2
Luton
22 Sept
Luton
6 : 0
Ipswich U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
8 Oxford Utd 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
12 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
13 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
14 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)