Sport Picks
Motagua vs Alajuelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa 
Kampsammendrag
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Motagua have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Alajuelense's 1.71 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Motagua have won 1 to Alajuelense's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 1. okt. 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Motagua. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Motagua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Motagua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alajuelense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- Alajuelense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Motagua | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 28 |
| Seire | 15 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 8 |
| Tap | 8 | 8 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.5 | 1.71 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.83 | 1.14 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Alajuelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Motagua scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Motagua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
