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Motherwell vs St. Mirren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell
lør. 31. okt. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Motherwell host St. Mirren in the Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Motherwell have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against St. Mirren's 1.34 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Motherwell slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 30. aug. 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward St. Mirren. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Motherwell
11%
Uavgjort
9%
St. Mirren
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Motherwell

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and St. Mirren come out ahead of Motherwell on wins alone.
  • Model gives Motherwell a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Motherwell Rent bur 15%
St. Mirren Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Motherwell St. Mirren
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 8 11
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 15 14
Mål Scoret 1.32 1.34
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.75 1.66
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

30. aug. 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Motherwell
3:3
21. feb. 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Motherwell
0:5
3. jan. 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs St. Mirren
2:0
1. nov. 2025 League Cup
Motherwell vs St. Mirren
1:4
9. aug. 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Motherwell
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Motherwell 75 / 100
St. Mirren 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Motherwell St. Mirren

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Motherwell Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

St. Mirren lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Motherwell's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Mirren let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Måltrender

Motherwell VS St. Mirren
1.13 Mål scoret 0.75
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)
17 Oct
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Motherwell
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

St. Mirren

(Away)
17 Oct
Aberdeen
3 : 1
St. Mirren
10 Oct
Hearts
5 : 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)