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Orenburg vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg
ons. 28. okt. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rodina Moscow have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Orenburg have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Orenburg have won 1 to Rodina Moscow's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 18. aug. 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Orenburg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Orenburg
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Rodina Moscow
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Orenburg

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow come out ahead of Orenburg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Orenburg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Rodina Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Orenburg Rent bur 20%
Rodina Moscow Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Orenburg Rodina Moscow
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 9 11
Uavgjort 9 5
Tap 10 12
Mål Scoret 1.25 1.71
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.39 1.89
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. aug. 2026 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Orenburg
1:4
20. feb. 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Rodina Moscow
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Orenburg 76 / 100
Rodina Moscow 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Orenburg Rodina Moscow

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Orenburg Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Rodina Moscow let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Orenburg found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Orenburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Orenburg VS Rodina Moscow
1.38 Mål scoret 1.13
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orenburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Orenburg
3 : 2
Tekstilshtik
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
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Rodina Moscow

(Away)
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)